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The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −143.98₴

Invest at least 582.82₴

Average return 438.83₴

ROI −24.7%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 582.82 ₴, profit at most −143.98 ₴

float premium: at least 331 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

82.10 ₴

at 41.05

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

92.99 ₴

at 18.60

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

75.97 ₴

at 25.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 251.06 ₴ +187.77 (+74.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

131.76 ₴

at 26.35

Steam

×4

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

164.20 ₴

at 41.05

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

18.60 ₴

at 18.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 314.56 ₴ +143.16 (+45.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 072.00 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

323.86 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

242.75 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

355.18 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

335.49 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

638.79 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

498.88 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

472.51 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

701.74 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +107.99 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +164.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2818149 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 185.23₴ · invest 243.48₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2844649 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 181.15₴ · invest 223.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2841982 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 181.00₴ · invest 224.78₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2824703 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 178.55₴ · invest 217.76₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074161 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074161 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2843613 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 177.27₴ · invest 235.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2814300 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 176.33₴ · invest 233.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2845267 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 175.90₴ · invest 224.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2835641 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.44₴ · invest 215.43₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2842864 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 168.99₴ · invest 211.28₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2821810 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 168.50₴ · invest 222.72₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2825509 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 167.37₴ · invest 257.87₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2837848 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 165.94₴ · invest 244.48₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2826511 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 163.50₴ · invest 201.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2831447 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 163.46₴ · invest 243.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2845215 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 161.45₴ · invest 204.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2841983 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 150.56₴ · invest 209.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076577 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2809411 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 147.07₴ · invest 229.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build