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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +18 891.43₽

Invest 34 880.11₽

Average return 53 771.54₽

ROI +54.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 80 744.56 ₽, profit at most −26 973.02 ₽

float premium: at least 45 203 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −20 469.06 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

10 032.69 ₽

at 3 344.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

6 604.50 ₽

at 2 201.50

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

18 242.92 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34 880.11 ₽ +18 891.43 (+54.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

3 344.23 ₽

at 3 344.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0804

6 604.50 ₽

at 2 201.50

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

27 364.38 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37 313.11 ₽ +23 910.15 (+64.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

6 688.46 ₽

at 3 344.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

6 604.50 ₽

at 2 201.50

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

22 803.65 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 096.61 ₽ +21 400.79 (+59.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

13 376.92 ₽

at 3 344.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

6 604.50 ₽

at 2 201.50

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

13 682.19 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 663.61 ₽ +16 382.07 (+48.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 332 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

16 721.15 ₽

at 3 344.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

6 604.50 ₽

at 2 201.50

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

9 121.46 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32 447.11 ₽ +13 872.71 (+42.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 15%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

114 753.61 ₽ 35.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

20 055.66 ₽ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

42 083.60 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

21 604.61 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17 086.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18 561.25 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2825626 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 20 266.47₽ · invest 32 686.69₽
marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078525 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007460 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2834375 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 795.50₽ · invest 34 148.17₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)
Craft 2845999 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 455.42₽ · invest 31 414.85₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078148 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007130 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2845695 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 076.17₽ · invest 33 691.39₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080374 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009077 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2843014 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 059.57₽ · invest 33 187.30₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079269 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008111 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2835111 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 036.81₽ · invest 29 561.25₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2835799 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 778.95₽ · invest 28 757.33₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077288 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006377 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2837140 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 179.20₽ · invest 29 454.61₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079194 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2820910 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15 810.68₽ · invest 31 437.33₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075649 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004943 instead of 0.008739
Craft 2832565 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15 768.14₽ · invest 31 021.33₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.079987; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.008739

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build