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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 445.22₸

Invest 2 460.85₸

Average return 3 906.07₸

ROI +58.7%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 5 871.36 ₸, profit at most −1 965.35 ₸

float premium: at least 3 401 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1 313.27 ₸

at 187.61

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

875.44 ₸

at 437.72

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

272.14 ₸

at 272.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 460.85 ₸ +1 445.22 (+58.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

750.44 ₸

at 187.61

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

875.44 ₸

at 437.72

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

816.41 ₸

at 272.14

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

380.70 ₸

at 380.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 823.00 ₸ +1 072.76 (+38.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

875.44 ₸

at 437.72

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 632.83 ₸

at 272.14

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

761.40 ₸

at 380.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 269.67 ₸ +612.36 (+18.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

562.83 ₸

at 187.61

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

875.44 ₸

at 437.72

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 088.55 ₸

at 272.14

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

380.70 ₸

at 380.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 907.52 ₸ +984.82 (+33.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 125.66 ₸

at 187.61

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

875.44 ₸

at 437.72

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

544.28 ₸

at 272.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 545.38 ₸ +1 357.27 (+53.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 814.55 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 137.00 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

2 448.92 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 583.15 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

3 700.55 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2 521.45 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133111

7 147.42 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +746.48 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 212.09 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2845117 · The Safehouse Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 487.28₸ · invest 2 498.83₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076060 instead of 0.075262; MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): float at most 0.005302 instead of 0.004604
Craft 2838963 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 464.62₸ · invest 2 902.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075247 instead of 0.075262; MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): float at most 0.004591 instead of 0.004604
Craft 2845299 · The Shadow Collection + The Train Collection · profit 1 440.23₸ · invest 2 517.55₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076060 instead of 0.075262; MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): float at most 0.005302 instead of 0.004604
Craft 2843216 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 423.36₸ · invest 2 370.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075296 instead of 0.075262; MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): float at most 0.004634 instead of 0.004604

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build