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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 561.98₴

Invest 1 911.24₴

Average return 3 473.21₴

ROI +81.7%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 4 471.85 ₴, profit at most −998.64 ₴

float premium: at least 2 545 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

739.88 ₴

at 246.63

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

770.26 ₴

at 128.38

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

401.09 ₴

at 401.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 911.24 ₴ +1 561.98 (+81.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

676.24 ₴

at 112.71

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

493.26 ₴

at 246.63

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

256.75 ₴

at 128.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 426.25 ₴ +559.00 (+39.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

338.12 ₴

at 112.71

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

739.88 ₴

at 246.63

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

513.51 ₴

at 128.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 591.51 ₴ +988.92 (+62.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

246.63 ₴

at 246.63

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

770.26 ₴

at 128.38

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 203.27 ₴

at 401.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 220.16 ₴ +1 848.25 (+83.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

493.26 ₴

at 246.63

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

770.26 ₴

at 128.38

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

802.18 ₴

at 401.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 065.70 ₴ +1 705.11 (+82.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 245.25 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 796.54 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079499

1 387.76 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 104.49 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

1 303.46 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +949.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 294.12 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2838580 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 999.22₴ · invest 2 213.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164522 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004419 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2837118 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 958.80₴ · invest 2 042.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162729 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.003874 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2839087 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 957.38₴ · invest 2 333.61₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164820 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004510 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2841749 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 947.54₴ · invest 2 040.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165052 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004581 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2843759 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 822.40₴ · invest 1 998.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165052 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004581 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2842107 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 747.80₴ · invest 2 223.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165566 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004737 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2816818 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 726.69₴ · invest 2 611.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested), P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163213 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004021 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2825612 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 708.93₴ · invest 1 903.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164522 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004419 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2846297 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 1 706.32₴ · invest 2 184.25₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164820 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004510 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2814396 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 645.31₴ · invest 1 986.07₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2846287 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 640.14₴ · invest 1 980.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164189 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004318 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2846171 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 625.43₴ · invest 2 574.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166207 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004932 instead of 0.004608
Craft 2818265 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 529.61₴ · invest 1 888.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165052 instead of 0.165141; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004581 instead of 0.004608

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build