The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −258.42$

Invest at least 951.41$

Average return 692.99$

ROI −27.2%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 951.41 $, profit at most −258.42 $

float premium: at least 526 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −79.99 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

123.64 $

at 61.82

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

300.08 $

at 100.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 423.71 $ +269.27 (+63.5%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −121 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

185.46 $

at 61.82

Steam

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

200.05 $

at 100.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 385.51 $ +182.62 (+47.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −184 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

247.27 $

at 61.82

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

100.03 $

at 100.03

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 347.30 $ +95.97 (+27.6%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

281.04 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

205.62 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

341.96 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

288.04 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

472.03 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.29 $ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

374.81 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 772.69 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

232.77 $ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

364.26 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

223.66 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

556.36 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 042.10 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

520.07 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192.62 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

813.60 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

750.58 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

972.18 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

365.04 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 420.21 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 049.99 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

548.62 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231.39 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 582.42 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305.87 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 200.60 $ 2.50%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

817.71 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 241.75 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 800.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 063.03 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

687.04 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247.26 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.09 $ 2.50%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

163.55 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

161.52 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +223.16 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +262.77 $ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2847475 · The Revolution Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 307.49$ · invest 409.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −39 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2847478 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 307.49$ · invest 409.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −39 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2847811 · The Revolution Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 271.15$ · invest 410.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011535 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2847812 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 271.15$ · invest 410.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011535 instead of 0.009652
Craft 2847193 · The Revolution Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 269.27$ · invest 423.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build