The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −351 231.78₸

Invest at least 799 178.47₸

Average return 447 946.68₸

ROI −44.0%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest at least 799 178.47 ₸, profit at most −351 231.78 ₸

float premium: at least 399 525 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 094 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −213 524.92 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

272 021.33 ₸

at 90 673.78

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

83 443.57 ₸

at 41 721.78

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 355 464.90 ₸ +92 481.79 (+26.0%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 879 ₸

7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

181 347.55 ₸

at 90 673.78

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

125 165.35 ₸

at 41 721.78

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 306 512.90 ₸ +21 784.97 (+7.1%)

What you get 50 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 43%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

601 561.78 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

924 838.89 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

778 708.23 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.73%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

683 599.90 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

436 744.38 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

544 203.74 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

772 054.85 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

838 884.45 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

657 504.02 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

679 723.13 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 211.07 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 017 857.24 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

644 431.04 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

608 798.88 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

729 747.89 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

616 268.35 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

392 226.08 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333 281.97 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

630 364.50 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 914 470.41 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

772 481.07 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

91 610.63 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

67 797.92 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

52 139.68 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

35 614.31 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

23 310.59 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 771.70 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

113 373.85 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

65 058.85 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

53 715.44 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

27 219.05 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

27 973.23 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178 999.71 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

169 272.41 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

116 014.06 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

100 876.12 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

64 573.61 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

62 263.80 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156 456.81 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

331 057.40 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

166 293.22 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

170 930.25 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

130 453.05 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

89 519.03 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

221 451.92 ₸ 1.43%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

24 316.57 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

26 759.36 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

66 928.55 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

113 932.34 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 3 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 272 021.33 → 614 768.20 ₸

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 2 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 83 443.57 → 184 410.28 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 only The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +85 766.56 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +90 026.63 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 50 outcomes

More

How to build