The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +36.59$

Invest 314.39$

Average return 350.98$

ROI +11.6%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 697.98 $, profit at most −347.00 $

float premium: at least 364 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −197 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −29.94 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

35.53 $

at 35.53

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

89.93 $

at 89.93

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

188.93 $

at 62.98

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 314.39 $ +36.59 (+11.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −243 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

35.53 $

at 35.53

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

125.95 $

at 62.98

Steam

×2

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

222.95 $

at 111.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 384.44 $ +43.78 (+11.4%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 59%
About break-even 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

228.70 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

250.02 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

134.88 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

99.24 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

191.75 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

67.18 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

82.55 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

228.52 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

129.25 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

85.11 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

67.32 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

115.00 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

103.51 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

568.68 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

393.37 $ 2.73%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

264.95 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

561.55 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

308.45 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

229.48 $ 2.73%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

171.09 $ 2.73%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

605.07 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

760.87 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 011.48 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

750.10 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

230.45 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 076.72 $ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

509.39 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

357.75 $ 2.73%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

784.52 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

438.53 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

319.62 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

227.32 $ 2.73%

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

375.04 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 412.33 $ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 115.08 $ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 35.53 → 76.75 $

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 89.93 → 194.25 $

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 188.93 → 426.97 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.10 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

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How to build