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The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +31.79₸

Invest 235.68₸

Average return 267.47₸

ROI +13.5%

Chance of profit 75%

With float: invest at least 578.24 ₸, profit at most −310.77 ₸

float premium: at least 308 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

157.23 ₸

at 22.46

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

78.45 ₸

at 26.15

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 235.68 ₸ +31.79 (+13.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 50%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

325.52 ₸ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

363.34 ₸ 25.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

265.90 ₸ 25.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

275.50 ₸ 25.00%

Steam

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −36.24 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.73 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build