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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.00$

Invest 8.96$

Average return 15.96$

ROI +78.1%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 20.11 $, profit at most −4.15 $

float premium: at least 11 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.98 $

at 0.49

Steam

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

4.14 $

at 2.07

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.17 $

at 0.58

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.68 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.96 $ +7.00 (+78.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1.98 $

at 0.49

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

6.21 $

at 2.07

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1.75 $

at 0.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.94 $ +7.25 (+72.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

0.99 $

at 0.49

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1.17 $

at 0.58

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5.03 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.18 $ +3.89 (+54.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.49 $

at 0.49

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2.91 $

at 0.58

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

3.35 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.76 $ +3.09 (+45.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.47 $

at 0.49

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

6.21 $

at 2.07

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

0.58 $

at 0.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

0.84 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.10 $ +8.30 (+82.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.047872

12.56 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

53.33 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

6.04 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

9.20 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

5.01 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15.55 $ 13.33%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 1.98 → 4.68 $

P250 | Exchanger (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 4.14 → 9.15 $

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1.17 → 2.58 $

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1.68 → 3.71 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.095744581

outcomes come out up to 0.047872, 0.067021, 0.095744, 0.067021, 0.095744, 0.149999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2857032 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.46$ · invest 10.16$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074064 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003556 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856937 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 8.44$ · invest 14.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075731 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.005014 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856712 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 8.35$ · invest 10.00$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear), SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003763 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856782 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 8.21$ · invest 14.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003567 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856995 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 7.54$ · invest 12.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004049 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856390 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 7.49$ · invest 12.44$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Minimal Wear), Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004049 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856437 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 7.27$ · invest 12.48$
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075029 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004401 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856791 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 7.15$ · invest 15.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Tread (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2856585 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 7.07$ · invest 8.08$
PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075454 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004772 instead of 0.003781
Craft 2857040 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 6.48$ · invest 13.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074321; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 2; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.003828 instead of 0.003781

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build