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The 2021 Train Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −7 564.45₽

Invest at least 17 931.20₽

Average return 10 366.76₽

ROI −42.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 17 931.20 ₽, profit at most −7 564.45 ₽

float premium: at least 10 059 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5 299.62 ₽

at 883.27

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 957.36 ₽

at 489.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 256.98 ₽ +3 109.78 (+42.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

5 825.25 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

5 833.23 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 428.40 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 171.02 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.010270

5 174.94 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

2 437.00 ₽ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Bravo Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +615.13 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 674.11 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2858821 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 3 057.34₽ · invest 7 231.62₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.006523 instead of 0.005656
Craft 2858963 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 2 705.31₽ · invest 6 773.08₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004504 instead of 0.005656

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build