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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −187.50₽

Invest at least 559.23₽

Average return 371.73₽

ROI −33.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 559.23 ₽, profit at most −187.50 ₽

float premium: at least 332 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

49.05 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

172.35 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.40 ₽ +150.33 (+67.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

245.25 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

26.58 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

38.30 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 310.13 ₽ +21.59 (+7.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

98.10 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

8.86 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

134.05 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 241.01 ₽ +120.72 (+50.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

42.28 ₽

at 42.28

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

98.10 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

8.86 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

114.90 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 264.14 ₽ +87.59 (+33.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

84.56 ₽

at 42.28

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

98.10 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

8.86 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

95.75 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.27 ₽ +54.46 (+19.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 8%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

515.16 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.55 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611.41 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343.90 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.96 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

243.25 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

543.33 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

245.33 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

263.96 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +109.74 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +144.42 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2873210 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 157.98₽ · invest 202.66₽
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2876043 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 157.46₽ · invest 242.91₽
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2876586 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 155.62₽ · invest 214.87₽
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2875780 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 154.16₽ · invest 241.61₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build