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The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −47 976.61₸

Invest at least 90 796.93₸

Average return 42 820.32₸

ROI −52.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 90 796.93 ₸, profit at most −47 976.61 ₸

float premium: at least 52 049 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

10 712.06 ₸

at 10 712.06

Steam

×9

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

25 725.82 ₸

at 2 858.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 437.88 ₸ +6 382.44 (+17.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

9 676.25 ₸

at 9 676.25

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

10 712.06 ₸

at 10 712.06

Steam

×8

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

22 867.39 ₸

at 2 858.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43 255.71 ₸ +4 066.93 (+9.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | The Oligarch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

51 984.30 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Full Throttle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

36 147.14 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

90 559.03 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137999

101 125.53 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +839.20 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 196.72 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2884013 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 6 435.13₸ · invest 33 883.82₸
rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165701 instead of 0.164978

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build