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The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +109.57₽

Invest 214.65₽

Average return 324.22₽

ROI +51.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 541.48 ₽, profit at most −217.25 ₽

float premium: at least 324 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

49.05 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

165.60 ₽

at 18.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.65 ₽ +109.57 (+51.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

446.92 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

335.48 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

222.35 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

156.63 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.064285

245.33 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085714

206.66 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +69.54 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +93.80 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2885496 · The Harlequin Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 113.98₽ · invest 203.40₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165913 instead of 0.165735
Craft 2885373 · The Harlequin Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 113.42₽ · invest 215.00₽
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163906 instead of 0.165735
Craft 2882771 · The Gamma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 113.22₽ · invest 206.65₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164084 instead of 0.165735
Craft 2885512 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 112.95₽ · invest 208.12₽
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165913 instead of 0.165735
Craft 2885380 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 110.25₽ · invest 203.40₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161580 instead of 0.165735
Craft 2885381 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 108.89₽ · invest 203.40₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166034 instead of 0.165735
Craft 2885293 · The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 105.38₽ · invest 204.16₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162861 instead of 0.165735

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build