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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3.25$

Invest at least 10.90$

Average return 7.65$

ROI −29.8%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 10.90 $, profit at most −3.25 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1.76 $

at 0.59

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2.71 $

at 0.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.47 $ +3.17 (+71.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1.17 $

at 0.59

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1.55 $

at 0.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.75 $ +1.07 (+22.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

2.35 $

at 0.59

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

0.26 $

at 0.26

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1.55 $

at 0.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.66 $ +1.76 (+37.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

23.94 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.20 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

4.51 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.96 $ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.91 $ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.50 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

2.93 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

3.16 $ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.82 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2892937 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.16$ · invest 4.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2892357 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.14$ · invest 4.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2890551 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.73$ · invest 4.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076666 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2883199 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.72$ · invest 4.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2865240 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.72$ · invest 4.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2889612 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.72$ · invest 4.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2890143 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.69$ · invest 4.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074049 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2891338 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.52$ · invest 4.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2866538 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.51$ · invest 3.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2892961 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.49$ · invest 3.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2874044 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.45$ · invest 3.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076999 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2869036 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.39$ · invest 4.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2885482 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.34$ · invest 4.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2892938 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.30$ · invest 4.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2874046 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.27$ · invest 3.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2861334 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.24$ · invest 4.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075141 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2892990 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.21$ · invest 4.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2883200 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.21$ · invest 4.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2872147 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.14$ · invest 4.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build