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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +17 909.70₽

Invest 31 510.35₽

Average return 49 420.05₽

ROI +56.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 72 384.21 ₽, profit at most −22 964.16 ₽

float premium: at least 38 907 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −15 831.39 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

11 150.64 ₽

at 2 787.66

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

6 677.52 ₽

at 2 225.84

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

13 682.19 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 510.35 ₽ +17 909.70 (+56.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

2 787.66 ₽

at 2 787.66

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

6 677.52 ₽

at 2 225.84

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

27 364.38 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 829.56 ₽ +24 241.70 (+65.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

5 575.32 ₽

at 2 787.66

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

6 677.52 ₽

at 2 225.84

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

22 803.65 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 056.49 ₽ +22 131.03 (+63.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

8 362.98 ₽

at 2 787.66

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6 677.52 ₽

at 2 225.84

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

18 242.92 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 283.42 ₽ +20 020.36 (+60.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 620 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

13 938.30 ₽

at 2 787.66

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

6 677.52 ₽

at 2 225.84

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

9 121.46 ₽

at 4 560.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 737.28 ₽ +15 799.03 (+53.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

114 765.61 ₽ 30.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

20 055.66 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

22 684.83 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.028307

37 385.69 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15 599.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17 609.62 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2873113 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 19 854.46₽ · invest 33 416.83₽
marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078525 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007460 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2886208 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 18 535.86₽ · invest 31 513.35₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2881854 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 929.92₽ · invest 34 221.19₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2879960 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 720.69₽ · invest 29 072.31₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2893471 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 124.04₽ · invest 33 764.41₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080374 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009077 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2882598 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17 021.31₽ · invest 29 580.27₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2890715 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 990.67₽ · invest 33 260.32₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079269 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008111 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2893788 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 533.92₽ · invest 31 425.31₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078148 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007130 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2884731 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15 935.74₽ · invest 29 527.63₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079194 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.004943

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build