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The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −26.92$

Invest at least 153.89$

Average return 126.97$

ROI −17.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 153.89 $, profit at most −26.92 $

float premium: at least 90 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

5.14 $

at 5.14

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

5.97 $

at 5.97

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

50.15 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.26 $ +65.71 (+107.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

5.14 $

at 5.14

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

33.52 $

at 6.70

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

25.07 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.74 $ +23.69 (+37.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

5.14 $

at 5.14

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

40.23 $

at 6.70

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

12.54 $

at 6.27

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2579

6.97 $

at 6.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.87 $ +14.65 (+22.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

10.29 $

at 5.14

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

13.41 $

at 6.70

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

37.61 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.31 $ +41.94 (+68.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

10.29 $

at 5.14

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

20.11 $

at 6.70

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

25.07 $

at 6.27

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2570

6.97 $

at 6.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.44 $ +32.90 (+52.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

95.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.21 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

64.62 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

63.72 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46.57 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +61.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2891040 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 69.35$ · invest 68.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383760 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162354 instead of 0.166825
Craft 2887184 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 68.46$ · invest 59.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384426 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164543 instead of 0.166825
Craft 2873901 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 67.52$ · invest 59.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384160 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163669 instead of 0.166825
Craft 2891074 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 66.48$ · invest 68.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383611 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161867 instead of 0.166825
Craft 2867869 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 66.43$ · invest 77.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383842 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.166825
Craft 2868910 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 66.40$ · invest 60.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383697 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162149 instead of 0.166825
Craft 2883054 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 65.42$ · invest 68.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384160 instead of 0.385120; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163669 instead of 0.166825

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build