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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −127.58₽

Invest at least 461.21₽

Average return 333.63₽

ROI −27.7%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 461.21 ₽, profit at most −127.58 ₽

float premium: at least 269 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

8.86 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

134.05 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

45.36 ₽

at 22.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.27 ₽ +145.36 (+77.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

134.05 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

25.58 ₽

at 12.79

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

22.68 ₽

at 22.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182.31 ₽ +127.26 (+69.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

8.86 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

76.60 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

40.53 ₽

at 13.51

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

45.36 ₽

at 22.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.35 ₽ +90.11 (+52.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

8.86 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

57.45 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

54.04 ₽

at 13.51

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

45.36 ₽

at 22.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.71 ₽ +71.70 (+43.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 84%
Losing outcome 16%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

515.16 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.55 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611.41 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343.90 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.96 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

120.15 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

253.39 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

161.77 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

183.90 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

92.63 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +109.66 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +139.88 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876527 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 175.38₽ · invest 218.51₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074634
Craft 2866045 · The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 159.09₽ · invest 210.09₽
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074634
Craft 2870242 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 152.39₽ · invest 207.61₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163529 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074705 instead of 0.074634
Craft 2876277 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 151.90₽ · invest 218.51₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074634
Craft 2876552 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 138.35₽ · invest 207.49₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074634
Craft 2875841 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 136.50₽ · invest 184.93₽
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.163325; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074634

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build