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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −8.98₴

Invest 203.23₴

Average return 194.25₴

ROI −4.4%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest 203.23 ₴, profit −8.98 ₴

float premium: 11 ₴ (5.6%)

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈56% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (estimate)

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1342

176.76 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1342

7.12 ₴

at 7.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.88 ₴ +10.37 (+5.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

90.91 ₴

at 11.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

19.64 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

13.95 ₴

at 13.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.50 ₴ +69.75 (+56.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

90.91 ₴

at 11.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

8.28 ₴

at 8.28

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

13.95 ₴

at 13.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.14 ₴ +65.88 (+58.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

79.55 ₴

at 11.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.12 ₴

at 7.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

16.55 ₴

at 8.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.22 ₴ +60.56 (+58.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

290.40 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

167.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

429.23 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

177.05 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

140.71 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093799

38.64 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

42.37 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

90.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106399

91.26 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65.65 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.63 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876533 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 10.41₴ · invest 206.75₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074866 instead of 0.134246
Craft 2875816 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 10.19₴ · invest 185.55₴
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.134246

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build