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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.11$

Invest 2.97$

Average return 5.09$

ROI +71.0%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 7.39 $, profit at most −2.31 $

float premium: at least 4 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

2.06 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.97 $ +2.11 (+71.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

0.23 $

at 0.23

Steam

×8

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

5.74 $

at 0.72

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.88 $ +2.36 (+34.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

0.69 $

at 0.23

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

4.31 $

at 0.72

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.91 $ +2.30 (+38.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

0.92 $

at 0.23

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

3.59 $

at 0.72

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.42 $ +2.27 (+41.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.16 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.28 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.31 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.11 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.39 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7.69 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.49 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.92 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

10.51 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.52 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876432 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2.12$ · invest 2.66$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2864800 · The Ascent Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 2.94$
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2876227 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2.08$ · invest 2.65$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2876344 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 2.05$ · invest 2.78$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2871423 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2.04$ · invest 2.61$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2875945 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 2.00$ · invest 2.55$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2868342 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.98$ · invest 2.65$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2874596 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.97$ · invest 2.37$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2872475 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1.95$ · invest 3.03$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2876249 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1.92$ · invest 2.80$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build