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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −458.29₽

Invest at least 877.56₽

Average return 419.27₽

ROI −52.2%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 877.56 ₽, profit at most −458.29 ₽

float premium: at least 503 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

42.26 ₽

at 21.13

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

219.12 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

105.96 ₽

at 52.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 367.34 ₽ +51.93 (+14.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

255.64 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

31.00 ₽

at 31.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

105.96 ₽

at 52.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 392.60 ₽ +41.54 (+10.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

21.13 ₽

at 21.13

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

292.16 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

31.00 ₽

at 31.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 344.29 ₽ +60.11 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

21.13 ₽

at 21.13

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

146.08 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

264.90 ₽

at 52.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 432.11 ₽ +31.76 (+7.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 8%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

539.98 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

310.89 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

798.12 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

329.21 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

261.64 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

1 073.27 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

365.40 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

826.30 ₽ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

419.33 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

410.42 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.38 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +40.88 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2875951 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 68.25₽ · invest 329.34₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163532 instead of 0.165745; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074706 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2870247 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 65.79₽ · invest 329.76₽
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162321 instead of 0.165745; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074285 instead of 0.075476

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build