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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +533.05₽

Invest 462.84₽

Average return 995.89₽

ROI +115.2%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 1 133.90 ₽, profit at most −138.00 ₽

float premium: at least 649 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

292.16 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

170.68 ₽

at 85.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 462.84 ₽ +533.05 (+115.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

219.12 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

65.89 ₽

at 65.89

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

256.02 ₽

at 85.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 541.03 ₽ +467.33 (+86.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

146.08 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

131.78 ₽

at 65.89

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

341.36 ₽

at 85.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 619.22 ₽ +401.60 (+64.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −170 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

36.52 ₽

at 36.52

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

263.56 ₽

at 65.89

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

426.70 ₽

at 85.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 726.78 ₽ +312.73 (+43.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 79%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 16%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 296.28 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

680.00 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 255.21 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

865.14 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

558.11 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

498.79 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 415.39 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

916.70 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

979.52 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +357.58 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +515.91 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876509 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 645.53₽ · invest 612.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076470 instead of 0.077631
Craft 2876306 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 552.17₽ · invest 475.30₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076604 instead of 0.077631
Craft 2875982 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 529.02₽ · invest 469.63₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077631

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build