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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −185.22₽

Invest at least 369.41₽

Average return 184.20₽

ROI −50.1%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 369.41 ₽, profit at most −185.22 ₽

float premium: at least 200 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

62.02 ₽

at 8.86

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

38.30 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

58.62 ₽

at 58.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 158.94 ₽ +25.26 (+15.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

206.67 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

159.97 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

257.37 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

160.95 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

147.12 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

594.00 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

328.77 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

434.56 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

381.17 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

464.03 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.35 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.06 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876695 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 23.51₽ · invest 166.21₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.165309; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075325
Craft 2876002 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 23.43₽ · invest 174.33₽
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162182 instead of 0.165309; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074237 instead of 0.075325

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build