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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +129 613.63₸

Invest 203 356.00₸

Average return 332 969.63₸

ROI +63.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 508 007.07 ₸, profit at most −175 037.38 ₸

float premium: at least 298 352 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −144 974.50 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

5 997.50 ₸

at 5 997.50

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

24 152.13 ₸

at 12 076.06

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

173 206.37 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203 356.00 ₸ +129 613.63 (+63.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

11 995.01 ₸

at 5 997.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

12 076.06 ₸

at 12 076.06

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

173 206.37 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197 277.44 ₸ +116 255.28 (+58.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 715 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

17 992.51 ₸

at 5 997.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

20 318.43 ₸

at 20 318.43

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

148 462.60 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186 773.55 ₸ +87 885.29 (+47.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 799 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

17 992.51 ₸

at 5 997.50

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

40 636.87 ₸

at 20 318.43

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

123 718.83 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182 348.21 ₸ +72 873.70 (+40.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

622 648.89 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

108 809.90 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

182 532.95 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

180 952.69 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +118 173.37 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +127 374.79 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2884073 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 136 320.62₸ · invest 209 357.52₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2889394 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 126 871.81₸ · invest 212 139.17₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2871225 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 126 846.93₸ · invest 204 372.93₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078976 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007854 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2893079 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 125 469.95₸ · invest 217 747.78₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079734 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008518 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2894135 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 123 694.74₸ · invest 217 755.22₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075211 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004559 instead of 0.009367

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build