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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −152.93₴

Invest at least 951.32₴

Average return 798.39₴

ROI −16.1%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 951.32 ₴, profit at most −152.93 ₴

float premium: at least 537 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

223.49 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

165.06 ₴

at 41.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.55 ₴ +409.85 (+105.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

206.79 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

808.69 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

323.00 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

231.51 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

44.31 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 111.71 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

368.62 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 566.15 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

290.40 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

1 718.57 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +262.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +341.79 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2884679 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 497.37₴ · invest 351.15₴
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2884602 · The Glove Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 485.69₴ · invest 287.03₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884510 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 483.86₴ · invest 325.40₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884181 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 482.17₴ · invest 411.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2864930 · The Ascent Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 472.21₴ · invest 400.62₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884333 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 472.11₴ · invest 323.72₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884432 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 466.43₴ · invest 359.73₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2871715 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 461.43₴ · invest 314.04₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2866185 · The Boreal Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 459.41₴ · invest 273.45₴
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2861036 · The Achroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 451.71₴ · invest 357.06₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884377 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 447.82₴ · invest 287.03₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2868628 · The CS20 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 445.25₴ · invest 322.98₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164398 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2882725 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 444.67₴ · invest 304.46₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2872685 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 437.66₴ · invest 425.62₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2882031 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 426.81₴ · invest 363.53₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884628 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 425.95₴ · invest 269.25₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884171 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 420.50₴ · invest 392.74₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2884446 · The Glove Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 418.58₴ · invest 264.35₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2884651 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 414.57₴ · invest 302.26₴
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884473 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 409.46₴ · invest 264.25₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165769 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2867633 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 397.51₴ · invest 323.34₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2884558 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 377.87₴ · invest 392.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build