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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.76$

Invest at least 12.78$

Average return 10.03$

ROI −21.6%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 12.78 $, profit at most −2.76 $

float premium: at least 7 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

1.66 $

at 0.83

Steam

×3

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.21 $

at 0.40

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2.59 $

at 0.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.45 $ +4.57 (+83.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2.44 $

at 0.61

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

1.66 $

at 0.83

Steam

×3

P90 | Off World

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.21 $

at 0.40

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

0.52 $

at 0.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.82 $ +2.31 (+39.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35.25 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

16.62 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.98 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5.62 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

1.62 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

4.60 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.99 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

7.19 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.15 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

0.99 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.75 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2885898 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.11$ · invest 5.62$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2865146 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.04$ · invest 5.54$
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890801 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4.99$ · invest 5.24$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890986 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.98$ · invest 4.29$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890884 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4.96$ · invest 4.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2861243 · The Achroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.88$ · invest 5.22$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075986 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075986 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2868892 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.84$ · invest 4.97$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075920 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075920 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2889500 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 4.70$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890929 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.78$ · invest 5.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074605 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074605 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2872869 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.78$ · invest 5.73$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2872000 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.71$ · invest 4.59$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890853 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4.69$ · invest 4.42$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2885388 · The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.65$ · invest 5.48$
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2891050 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.61$ · invest 4.81$
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890400 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.56$ · invest 4.29$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2883025 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.52$ · invest 4.48$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074912 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2867856 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.48$ · invest 4.97$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890013 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.46$ · invest 5.05$
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074418 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074418 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2881397 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.22$ · invest 5.15$
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2886869 · The Italy Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.00$ · invest 5.09$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076086
Craft 2890014 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 3.97$ · invest 5.64$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074060 instead of 0.076086; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074060 instead of 0.076086

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build