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The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −545.20₴

Invest at least 1 586.59₴

Average return 1 041.39₴

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 1 586.59 ₴, profit at most −545.20 ₴

float premium: at least 918 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

400.09 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Marina

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

247.39 ₴

at 247.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 647.48 ₴ +393.91 (+60.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −303 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

311.18 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×2

Nova | Rising Skull

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

521.68 ₴

at 260.84

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

347.40 ₴

at 347.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 180.26 ₴ +78.73 (+6.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 107.75 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

1 120.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

989.43 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120999

2 584.83 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 122.73 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 263.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +236.29 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +332.30 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2878458 · The Falchion Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 358.73₴ · invest 680.69₴
rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SG 553 | Cyrex: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171874 instead of 0.165164

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build