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The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +9.55$

Invest 28.24$

Average return 37.79$

ROI +33.8%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 65.55 $, profit at most −27.76 $

float premium: at least 37 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

11.05 $

at 1.58

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

4.86 $

at 2.43

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

12.33 $

at 12.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.24 $ +9.55 (+33.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

7.89 $

at 1.58

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

7.29 $

at 2.43

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

24.66 $

at 12.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.84 $ +6.98 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

4.74 $

at 1.58

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

9.72 $

at 2.43

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

36.98 $

at 12.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.44 $ +4.41 (+8.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.58 $

at 1.58

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

12.15 $

at 2.43

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

49.31 $

at 12.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.04 $ +1.84 (+2.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

33.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

19.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46.71 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

100.02 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

246.11 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

64.62 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.82 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build