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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +347.35₽

Invest 340.13₽

Average return 687.48₽

ROI +102.1%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 834.45 ₽, profit at most −146.96 ₽

float premium: at least 476 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

226.73 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

113.40 ₽

at 37.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 340.13 ₽ +347.35 (+102.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

21.59 ₽

at 21.59

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

97.17 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Circaetus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

57.66 ₽

at 28.83

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

151.20 ₽

at 37.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.62 ₽ +254.87 (+77.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

32.39 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

×7

CZ75-Auto | Circaetus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

201.81 ₽

at 28.83

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

75.60 ₽

at 37.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 309.80 ₽ +167.69 (+54.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

21.59 ₽

at 21.59

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

129.56 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Circaetus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

28.83 ₽

at 28.83

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

151.20 ₽

at 37.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 331.18 ₽ +286.30 (+86.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 18%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 001.13 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

602.19 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

377.01 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

665.06 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 399.98 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

428.81 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

275.45 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

144.18 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

295.91 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +227.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +309.53 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2892357 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 345.64₽ · invest 375.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2890551 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 312.14₽ · invest 340.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076666 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2883199 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 311.36₽ · invest 354.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2865240 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 310.94₽ · invest 405.12₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2889612 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 310.88₽ · invest 357.46₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2890143 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 308.75₽ · invest 399.07₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074049 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2891338 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 294.48₽ · invest 382.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2866538 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 293.74₽ · invest 309.32₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2892961 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 291.81₽ · invest 323.60₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New)
Craft 2874044 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 288.32₽ · invest 317.66₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076999 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2869036 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 283.13₽ · invest 357.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2885482 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 278.89₽ · invest 400.24₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2892938 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 276.02₽ · invest 334.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; AK-47 | Slate: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAC-10 | Button Masher: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076249; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.005041 instead of 0.005468
Craft 2874046 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 273.69₽ · invest 319.74₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2861334 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 270.97₽ · invest 374.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075141 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2892990 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 268.45₽ · invest 344.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2883200 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 268.21₽ · invest 345.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2867983 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 265.37₽ · invest 373.88₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075714 instead of 0.076249
Craft 2872147 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 262.29₽ · invest 351.46₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.076249

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build