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The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −672.65₴

Invest at least 1 747.74₴

Average return 1 075.10₴

ROI −38.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 747.74 ₴, profit at most −672.65 ₴

float premium: at least 1 014 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

411.32 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

216.54 ₴

at 108.27

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

107.14 ₴

at 53.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 735.00 ₴ +340.10 (+46.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

411.32 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

108.27 ₴

at 108.27

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

107.14 ₴

at 53.57

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

99.87 ₴

at 99.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 726.60 ₴ +296.04 (+40.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −209 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

68.55 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

108.27 ₴

at 108.27

Steam

×6

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

321.42 ₴

at 53.57

Steam

×2

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

199.74 ₴

at 99.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 697.98 ₴ +62.36 (+8.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

342.77 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

160.71 ₴

at 53.57

Steam

×2

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

199.74 ₴

at 99.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 703.21 ₴ +214.51 (+30.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.030222

386.60 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.035555

3 596.28 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.030222

1 198.28 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.044444

246.90 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Marina

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 196.95 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.017777

1 123.84 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.013333

377.27 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.022222

316.92 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +123.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +241.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build