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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −24.42₴

Invest at least 49.57₴

Average return 25.15₴

ROI −49.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 49.57 ₴, profit at most −24.42 ₴

float premium: at least 25 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

12.22 ₴

at 1.53

Steam

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

8.11 ₴

at 4.05

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 20.33 ₴ +4.82 (+23.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

1.53 ₴

at 1.53

Steam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

19.94 ₴

at 4.99

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

40.66 ₴

at 8.13

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 62.13 ₴ +12.22 (+19.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Rust Coat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

1.36 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×8

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

12.22 ₴

at 1.53

Steam

×1

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

3.75 ₴

at 3.75

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 17.32 ₴ +0.80 (+4.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

3.05 ₴

at 1.53

Steam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

19.94 ₴

at 4.99

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

32.53 ₴

at 8.13

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 55.52 ₴ +11.79 (+21.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP9 | Slide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.58 ₴

at 1.53

Steam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

19.94 ₴

at 4.99

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

24.39 ₴

at 8.13

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 48.92 ₴ +11.37 (+23.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

8.51 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

7.08 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.47 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8.99 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

68.51 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

145.20 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

60.62 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

99.98 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build