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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −167.48₸

Invest at least 1 498.38₸

Average return 1 330.85₸

ROI −11.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 498.38 ₸, profit at most −167.48 ₸

float premium: at least 841 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

155.60 ₸

at 77.80

Steam

×8

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

445.75 ₸

at 55.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 601.35 ₸ +729.50 (+121.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

67.60 ₸

at 67.60

Steam

×8

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

445.75 ₸

at 55.72

Steam

×1

Nova | Morning Sun

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

255.48 ₸

at 255.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 768.83 ₸ +646.54 (+84.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

67.60 ₸

at 67.60

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

233.40 ₸

at 77.80

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

334.31 ₸

at 55.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 635.31 ₸ +526.48 (+82.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

67.60 ₸

at 67.60

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

466.80 ₸

at 77.80

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

23.00 ₸

at 23.00

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

111.44 ₸

at 55.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 668.84 ₸ +239.37 (+35.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

67.60 ₸

at 67.60

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

155.60 ₸

at 77.80

Steam

×7

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

390.03 ₸

at 55.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 613.23 ₸ +633.09 (+103.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

FAMAS | Snake Song

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 371.59 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 523.34 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

917.32 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Sultan

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 087.43 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Converter

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

844.79 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

300.89 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 187.46 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Check Engine

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

678.17 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 4 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +513.68 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +712.08 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2911870 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train Collection · profit 688.76₸ · invest 560.88₸
P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build