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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +241.90₴

Invest 159.64₴

Average return 401.54₴

ROI +151.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest 386.34 ₴, profit +15.20 ₴

float premium: 222 ₴ (135.4%)

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (estimate)

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0955

88.84 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0223

70.80 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.64 ₴ +241.90 (+151.5%)

4% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1105

44.42 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1105

6.57 ₴

at 6.57

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0354

82.60 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133.58 ₴ +92.89 (+69.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

15.36 ₴

at 7.68

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

44.42 ₴

at 22.21

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

70.80 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.58 ₴ +270.96 (+207.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

7.68 ₴

at 7.68

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

52.53 ₴

at 6.57

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

11.80 ₴

at 11.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.01 ₴ +66.92 (+92.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

564.62 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 372.79 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

259.83 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.066999

63.38 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

42.71 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91.79 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075999

47.26 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

50.43 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +181.39 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +210.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2904635 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 295.94₴ · invest 180.43₴
MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074128 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904966 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 294.80₴ · invest 179.53₴
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2905045 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 291.94₴ · invest 193.04₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904976 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 285.19₴ · invest 179.51₴
P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074226 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904654 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 282.09₴ · invest 201.99₴
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074882 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904614 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 258.09₴ · invest 170.35₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075628 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904655 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 255.20₴ · invest 179.19₴
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904637 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 247.18₴ · invest 179.49₴
SG 553 | Aloha (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074140 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904706 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 245.92₴ · invest 154.97₴
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Sure Grip (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076441 instead of 0.095565
Craft 2904753 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 239.86₴ · invest 181.40₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear), AUG | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076486 instead of 0.095565

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build