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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5 007.26₽

Invest at least 14 111.72₽

Average return 9 104.46₽

ROI −35.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 14 111.72 ₽, profit at most −5 007.26 ₽

float premium: at least 8 016 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

1 826.21 ₽

at 1 826.21

souvenirSteam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

258.93 ₽

at 86.31

Steam

×6

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

3 817.50 ₽

at 636.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 902.64 ₽ +3 201.82 (+54.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −260 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

3 652.42 ₽

at 1 826.21

souvenirSteam

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

172.62 ₽

at 86.31

Steam

×6

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

3 817.50 ₽

at 636.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 642.54 ₽ +3 521.49 (+46.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 756 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 750.00 ₽

at 1 750.00

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

3 652.42 ₽

at 1 826.21

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

86.31 ₽

at 86.31

Steam

×6

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

3 817.50 ₽

at 636.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 306.23 ₽ +3 917.37 (+42.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 147 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

7 304.84 ₽

at 1 826.21

souvenirSteam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

380.65 ₽

at 380.65

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

3 181.25 ₽

at 636.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 866.74 ₽ +4 416.43 (+40.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 884 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

7 304.84 ₽

at 1 826.21

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

12 712.50 ₽

at 2 542.50

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

428.69 ₽

at 428.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 446.03 ₽ +5 134.99 (+25.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 691.54 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 061.12 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 552.23 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

43 492.16 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

20 081.19 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The 2021 Train Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 402.67 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 552.49 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2933158 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 3 079.73₽ · invest 5 911.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build