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The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +28 202.53₸

Invest 49 938.27₸

Average return 78 140.80₸

ROI +56.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 128 137.18 ₸, profit at most −49 996.38 ₸

float premium: at least 73 529 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

43 128.75 ₸

at 4 792.08

Steam

×1

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

6 809.51 ₸

at 6 809.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49 938.27 ₸ +28 202.53 (+56.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 292 ₸

10% of lots fit: the price is understated

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

28 752.50 ₸

at 4 792.08

Steam

×4

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

27 238.06 ₸

at 6 809.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55 990.56 ₸ +15 558.61 (+27.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 158 ₸

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

33 544.59 ₸

at 4 792.08

Steam

×3

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

20 428.54 ₸

at 6 809.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53 973.13 ₸ +19 773.27 (+36.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 193 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

9 584.17 ₸

at 4 792.08

Steam

×1

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

5 174.95 ₸

at 5 174.95

Steam

×7

Nova | Sobek's Bite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

47 666.60 ₸

at 6 809.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62 425.73 ₸ +334.64 (+0.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

31 604.25 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

31 647.55 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213 914.43 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

75 309.67 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Apep's Curse

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

58 931.94 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Anubis Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Anubis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 835.57 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25 111.69 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Anubis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2907097 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 30 398.05₸ · invest 55 436.20₸
sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2905989 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 30 377.52₸ · invest 56 922.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2905171 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 28 570.58₸ · invest 57 691.21₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2907269 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 28 385.65₸ · invest 50 951.57₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2907110 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 27 796.23₸ · invest 46 926.53₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004382 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2907124 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 27 790.70₸ · invest 54 018.11₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004181 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2907386 · The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 27 740.46₸ · invest 47 506.66₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005750
Craft 2907106 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 27 642.30₸ · invest 49 359.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build