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The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +54.49₴

Invest 265.82₴

Average return 320.31₴

ROI +20.5%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 633.41 ₴, profit at most −313.10 ₴

float premium: at least 345 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

68.91 ₴

at 68.91

Steam

×3

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

38.74 ₴

at 12.91

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

158.18 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.82 ₴ +54.49 (+20.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1753

137.82 ₴

at 68.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

91.79 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×7

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

184.54 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 414.15 ₴ +10.79 (+2.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

137.82 ₴

at 68.91

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

12.76 ₴

at 12.76

Steam

×7

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

184.54 ₴

at 26.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 335.11 ₴ +37.51 (+11.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338.19 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.067529

319.17 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

267.24 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.036235

1 550.90 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.057646

781.97 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.049411

1 009.15 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.047764

731.88 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.032941

475.02 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30.31 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2935563 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 57.38₴ · invest 235.34₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build