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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −13 630.64₸

Invest at least 39 669.53₸

Average return 26 038.89₸

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 39 669.53 ₸, profit at most −13 630.64 ₸

float premium: at least 22 708 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

3 797.77 ₸

at 3 797.77

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

8 026.21 ₸

at 1 146.60

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

4 977.14 ₸

at 2 488.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 801.13 ₸ +9 237.76 (+55.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 131 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

11 393.32 ₸

at 3 797.77

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

6 879.61 ₸

at 1 146.60

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

2 488.57 ₸

at 2 488.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 761.50 ₸ +4 865.49 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 474 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

18 988.86 ₸

at 3 797.77

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1 116.00 ₸

at 1 116.00

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4 586.41 ₸

at 1 146.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 691.27 ₸ +523.77 (+2.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −273 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

7 595.55 ₸

at 3 797.77

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

8 026.21 ₸

at 1 146.60

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2 488.57 ₸

at 2 488.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 110.33 ₸ +7 722.61 (+42.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 063.26 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

21 230.53 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

13 250.97 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.004705

23 468.50 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.014705

32 157.53 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 124.88 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 089.80 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2940321 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 9 884.08₸ · invest 14 818.04₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077582 instead of 0.075739; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006634 instead of 0.005022
Craft 2913213 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 259.00₸ · invest 15 558.61₸
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.075739; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.005022

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build