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The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +49.17₴

Invest 127.66₴

Average return 176.82₴

ROI +38.5%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 298.91 ₴, profit at most −122.09 ₴

float premium: at least 162 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×7

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

54.77 ₴

at 7.82

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

36.25 ₴

at 18.12

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

36.63 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 127.66 ₴ +49.17 (+38.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

39.12 ₴

at 7.82

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

36.25 ₴

at 18.12

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

53.33 ₴

at 26.66

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

27.42 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156.12 ₴ +19.80 (+12.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

39.12 ₴

at 7.82

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

18.12 ₴

at 18.12

Steam

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

109.69 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.94 ₴ +8.54 (+5.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

46.95 ₴

at 7.82

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

36.25 ₴

at 18.12

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

26.66 ₴

at 26.66

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

27.42 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137.28 ₴ +39.09 (+28.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 96%
Losing outcome 4%

in profit

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

188.36 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

219.37 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

259.83 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

83.67 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

375.06 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

232.41 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

42.52 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.04 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2913900 · The Boreal Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 53.33₴ · invest 117.40₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076956 instead of 0.077368; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.006086 instead of 0.006447
Craft 2914262 · The Boreal Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 50.95₴ · invest 111.76₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.077368; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.003999 instead of 0.006447

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build