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The Breakout Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −133.42₽

Invest at least 240.77₽

Average return 107.35₽

ROI −55.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 240.77 ₽, profit at most −133.42 ₽

float premium: at least 127 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

29.39 ₽

at 29.39

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

67.41 ₽

at 7.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.80 ₽ +10.55 (+10.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

58.78 ₽

at 29.39

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

44.94 ₽

at 7.49

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

16.06 ₽

at 8.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 119.78 ₽ +1.92 (+1.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

75.16 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

191.68 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

93.31 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

82.76 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138164

91.85 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111627

257.22 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

217.99 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.066976

350.24 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089302

262.43 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.91 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.16 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2926315 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 11.50₽ · invest 94.98₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171238 instead of 0.168748

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build