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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −249.90₽

Invest at least 910.72₽

Average return 660.82₽

ROI −27.4%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 910.72 ₽, profit at most −249.90 ₽

float premium: at least 520 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

147.15 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

226.73 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 373.88 ₽ +286.94 (+76.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −82 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

211.40 ₽

at 42.28

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

98.10 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

97.17 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 406.67 ₽ +36.87 (+9.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

169.12 ₽

at 42.28

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

98.10 ₽

at 49.05

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

129.56 ₽

at 32.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 396.78 ₽ +101.08 (+25.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 77%
Losing outcome 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 064.63 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

602.19 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

458.07 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

664.53 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

272.94 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

524.09 ₽ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

245.15 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

248.45 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +169.72 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +251.85 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2940080 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 368.60₽ · invest 339.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2930557 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 341.59₽ · invest 349.51₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2913204 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 336.85₽ · invest 401.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2936832 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 333.56₽ · invest 357.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2937362 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 327.02₽ · invest 398.07₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074049 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2938496 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 321.56₽ · invest 385.61₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2909266 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 320.84₽ · invest 372.44₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074436 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2914480 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 316.13₽ · invest 309.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2916970 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 313.98₽ · invest 350.26₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940106 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 307.39₽ · invest 323.70₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2921947 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 306.91₽ · invest 318.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074617 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2932790 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 302.34₽ · invest 404.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074584 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2921948 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 301.04₽ · invest 318.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075900 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940081 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 300.30₽ · invest 334.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940138 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 297.76₽ · invest 343.66₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2930558 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 297.39₽ · invest 343.42₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2920101 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 289.64₽ · invest 349.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2939518 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 286.30₽ · invest 355.26₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2937749 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 283.92₽ · invest 335.98₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940168 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 281.01₽ · invest 374.46₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.075714

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build