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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +154.32₴

Invest 201.07₴

Average return 355.39₴

ROI +76.8%

Chance of profit 78%

With float: invest at least 489.78 ₴, profit at most −134.40 ₴

float premium: at least 280 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

79.14 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

121.93 ₴

at 17.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.07 ₴ +154.32 (+76.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

113.69 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

52.76 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

52.26 ₴

at 17.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 218.71 ₴ +19.83 (+9.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

90.95 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

52.76 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

69.68 ₴

at 17.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.39 ₴ +54.36 (+25.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 77%
Losing outcome 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 110.35 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

323.86 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

246.35 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

357.38 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

146.79 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

281.85 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

131.84 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

133.62 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +91.28 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +135.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2940080 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 198.23₴ · invest 182.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2930557 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 183.71₴ · invest 187.97₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074478 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2913204 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 181.16₴ · invest 215.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2936832 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 179.39₴ · invest 192.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2937362 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 175.87₴ · invest 214.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074049 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2938496 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.94₴ · invest 207.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2909266 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.55₴ · invest 200.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074436 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2914480 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 170.02₴ · invest 166.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2916970 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 168.86₴ · invest 188.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940106 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 165.31₴ · invest 174.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2921947 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 165.06₴ · invest 171.47₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074617 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2932790 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 162.60₴ · invest 217.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074584 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2921948 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 161.90₴ · invest 171.47₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075900 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940081 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 161.50₴ · invest 179.94₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940138 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 160.14₴ · invest 184.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2930558 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 159.94₴ · invest 184.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2920101 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 155.77₴ · invest 187.78₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2939518 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 153.97₴ · invest 191.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2937749 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 152.69₴ · invest 180.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.075714
Craft 2940168 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 151.12₴ · invest 201.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.075714

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build