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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +9 628.32₴

Invest 16 946.21₴

Average return 26 574.53₴

ROI +56.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 38 928.10 ₴, profit at most −12 353.57 ₴

float premium: at least 20 924 ₴

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −8 514.09 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

5 996.79 ₴

at 1 499.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

3 591.16 ₴

at 1 197.05

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

7 358.26 ₴

at 2 452.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 946.21 ₴ +9 628.32 (+56.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

1 499.20 ₴

at 1 499.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

3 591.16 ₴

at 1 197.05

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

14 716.51 ₴

at 2 452.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 806.87 ₴ +13 031.91 (+65.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

2 998.40 ₴

at 1 499.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

3 591.16 ₴

at 1 197.05

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

12 263.76 ₴

at 2 452.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 853.32 ₴ +11 897.38 (+63.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

4 497.60 ₴

at 1 499.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 591.16 ₴

at 1 197.05

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

9 811.01 ₴

at 2 452.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 899.76 ₴ +10 762.85 (+60.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −874 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

7 495.99 ₴

at 1 499.20

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3 591.16 ₴

at 1 197.05

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

4 905.50 ₴

at 2 452.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 992.66 ₴ +8 493.79 (+53.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 20%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 708.88 ₴ 30.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

10 785.90 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

12 199.86 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.028307

20 105.96 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 385.76 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 466.94 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2921062 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10 726.11₴ · invest 17 657.14₴
marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078525 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007460 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2924488 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10 431.12₴ · invest 19 170.94₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2933546 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10 118.65₴ · invest 18 797.73₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2929396 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 638.61₴ · invest 18 404.09₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2927677 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 523.95₴ · invest 15 635.04₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2937905 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 336.56₴ · invest 17 887.34₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079269 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008111 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2940627 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 205.21₴ · invest 18 158.44₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080374 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009077 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2930105 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 150.55₴ · invest 15 908.22₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2926805 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 043.03₴ · invest 13 799.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 705 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074816 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004214 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2940932 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8 893.05₴ · invest 16 895.85₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078148 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007130 instead of 0.004943
Craft 2932025 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8 566.72₴ · invest 15 879.91₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079194 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.004943

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build