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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +190.81₸

Invest 686.80₸

Average return 877.61₸

ROI +27.8%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 1 670.10 ₸, profit at most −792.49 ₸

float premium: at least 947 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4784

147.30 ₸

at 147.30

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

434.03 ₸

at 54.25

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

105.47 ₸

at 105.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 686.80 ₸ +190.81 (+27.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

999.30 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

887.16 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 369.15 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

848.86 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

737.47 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

795.25 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 160.17 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 131.95 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.064499

2 868.57 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

929.64 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +88.00 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +161.30 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2924296 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 177.47₸ · invest 715.23₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166225 instead of 0.161891; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075643 instead of 0.074136

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build