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The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −95.18$

Invest at least 163.87$

Average return 68.68$

ROI −58.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 163.87 $, profit at most −95.18 $

float premium: at least 94 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Muertos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

13.61 $

at 13.61

Steam

×7

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4788

41.71 $

at 5.96

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

12.72 $

at 6.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.04 $ +0.64 (+0.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

70.87 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

77.84 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137999

126.21 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Chatterbox

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.539999

115.02 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.33 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2915379 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.64$ · invest 74.05$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) instead of P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear); AK-47 | Nightwish: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.497979 instead of 0.478882; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170064 instead of 0.162077

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build