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The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −33 277.17₸

Invest at least 196 511.30₸

Average return 163 234.18₸

ROI −16.9%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 196 511.30 ₸, profit at most −33 277.17 ₸

float premium: at least 111 359 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −77 335 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

9 344.04 ₸

at 9 344.04

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

9 982.72 ₸

at 4 991.36

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

60 496.62 ₸

at 8 642.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79 823.38 ₸ +83 410.81 (+104.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 887 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

46 720.20 ₸

at 9 344.04

Steam

×4

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

19 965.43 ₸

at 4 991.36

Steam

×1

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 642.37 ₸

at 8 642.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75 328.01 ₸ +39 561.29 (+52.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 549 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

18 688.08 ₸

at 9 344.04

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

9 982.72 ₸

at 4 991.36

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

51 854.25 ₸

at 8 642.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80 525.04 ₸ +70 622.89 (+87.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −55 307 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Muertos

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

18 508.77 ₸

at 6 169.59

Steam

×5

P250 | Muertos

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

46 720.20 ₸

at 9 344.04

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

9 982.72 ₸

at 4 991.36

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75 211.69 ₸ +3 419.03 (+4.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

297 793.45 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

105 443.42 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106999

57 226.68 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Chatterbox

Well-Worn

float up to 0.384999

68 027.33 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +51 524.22 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +62 102.16 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2916160 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 85 350.89₸ · invest 82 523.70₸
profit on prices without salesat least −78 273 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Muertos (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161909 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2934081 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 84 208.00₸ · invest 87 037.63₸
profit on prices without salesat least −75 094 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of P250 | Muertos (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2941085 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 79 064.48₸ · invest 86 589.16₸
profit on prices without salesat least −78 724 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of P250 | Muertos (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162323 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074286 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2912560 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 77 120.99₸ · invest 86 751.16₸
profit on prices without salesat least −86 751 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) instead of P250 | Muertos (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074299

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build