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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +238.13₽

Invest 4 927.86₽

Average return 5 165.99₽

ROI +4.8%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest 5 295.59 ₽, profit −129.60 ₽

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Field-Tested

any lot

540.00 ₽

at 540.00

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Well-Worn

any lot

4 387.86 ₽

at 487.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 927.86 ₽ +238.13 (+4.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.481000

6 055.96 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.384800

5 979.47 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.362650

5 823.86 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.240500

4 675.08 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −477.29 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +66.59 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2924998 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 261.57₽ · invest 4 855.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn): float at most 0.429242 instead of 0.450000
Craft 2925445 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 256.11₽ · invest 4 721.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested)
Craft 2925295 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 247.06₽ · invest 4 666.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested)
Craft 2924661 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 242.53₽ · invest 4 822.35₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build