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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +3 368.90₸

Invest 35 716.21₸

Average return 39 085.10₸

ROI +9.4%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 91 416.02 ₸, profit at most −52 330.92 ₸

float premium: at least 53 922 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

30 359.61 ₸

at 3 373.29

Steam

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

5 356.60 ₸

at 5 356.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 716.21 ₸ +3 368.90 (+9.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 262 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

23 613.03 ₸

at 3 373.29

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

6 968.32 ₸

at 6 968.32

Steam

×2

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

10 713.19 ₸

at 5 356.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 294.54 ₸ +284.18 (+0.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

29 889.39 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 271.04 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

100 734.94 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

40 778.53 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 269.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 756.69 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build