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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +8.83₴

Invest 149.88₴

Average return 158.71₴

ROI +5.9%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 355.36 ₴, profit at most −196.64 ₴

float premium: at least 198 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

27.42 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×6

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

77.48 ₴

at 12.91

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

44.98 ₴

at 14.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149.88 ₴ +8.83 (+5.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127499

193.07 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122999

204.54 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

174.28 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

88.11 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83.67 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

240.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

93.06 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

42.52 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −11.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.64 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build