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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −367.25₴

Invest at least 721.70₴

Average return 354.45₴

ROI −50.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 721.70 ₴, profit at most −367.25 ₴

float premium: at least 404 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

109.90 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

106.05 ₴

at 26.51

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

98.45 ₴

at 32.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 314.41 ₴ +40.04 (+12.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

183.17 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

106.05 ₴

at 26.51

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

32.82 ₴

at 32.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 322.04 ₴ +47.06 (+14.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −37 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

27.42 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

256.44 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

53.03 ₴

at 26.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 336.89 ₴ +54.19 (+16.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

146.54 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

106.05 ₴

at 26.51

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

65.63 ₴

at 32.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 318.23 ₴ +43.55 (+13.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 6%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117646

433.37 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

601.28 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109803

294.83 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.007450

199.84 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

259.83 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

808.69 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

375.06 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

232.41 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

657.04 ₴ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −32.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.08 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build