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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +998.26₽

Invest 1 006.81₽

Average return 2 005.07₽

ROI +99.2%

Chance of profit 93%

With float: invest at least 2 554.61 ₽, profit at most −549.54 ₽

float premium: at least 1 531 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

808.29 ₽

at 89.81

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

198.52 ₽

at 198.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 006.81 ₽ +998.26 (+99.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 354 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

269.43 ₽

at 89.81

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

247.05 ₽

at 247.05

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

1 594.32 ₽

at 265.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 110.80 ₽ +1 430.67 (+67.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −884 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

449.05 ₽

at 89.81

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

494.10 ₽

at 247.05

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

797.16 ₽

at 265.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 740.31 ₽ +1 289.03 (+74.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 93%
Losing outcome 7%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 219.09 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

1 975.19 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 839.78 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

12 774.32 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

1 090.99 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126899

1 003.06 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +725.03 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +884.37 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2926815 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 976.79₽ · invest 965.77₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164394 instead of 0.161810
Craft 2912830 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 933.50₽ · invest 861.28₽
sells slowly

USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164162 instead of 0.161810
Craft 2914053 · The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 931.46₽ · invest 872.52₽
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165655 instead of 0.161810
Craft 2926640 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 918.29₽ · invest 912.21₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164620 instead of 0.161810

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build