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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +60.58₴

Invest 112.64₴

Average return 173.22₴

ROI +53.8%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 267.75 ₴, profit at most −94.53 ₴

float premium: at least 155 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

36.63 ₴

at 36.63

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

15.28 ₴

at 7.64

Steam

×7

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

60.72 ₴

at 8.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 112.64 ₴ +60.58 (+53.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

340.68 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

143.75 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

145.81 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

88.11 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

43.02 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103999

240.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

93.06 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.241999

42.52 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +41.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2920850 · The Chroma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 57.78₴ · invest 116.67₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162242 instead of 0.162409; P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162242 instead of 0.162409

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build